Match Analysis

GetafevsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
23%
61%
Getafe winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.20
0.48Avg goals scored1.86
1.74Avg goals conceded0.65
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Getafe xG

Expected goals

1.8

Atlético Madrid xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

12%

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

0–3

7%

Home

Getafe

Getafe

DLDDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Getafe's current form?

Getafe have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Getafe Win16%
Draw23%
Atlético Madrid Win61%
BTTS46%
Over 2.548%