Match Analysis

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
37%
46%
Getafe winDrawRayo Vallecano win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
0.63Avg goals scored1.20
1.18Avg goals conceded1.19
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Getafe xG

Expected goals

1.1

Rayo Vallecano xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

20%

00

18%

11

12%

02

11%

10

11%

12

7%

Home

Getafe

Getafe

LWWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.2

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Getafeall timeRayo Vallecano
3D
3W
3 May 26
Getafe02Rayo Vallecano
2 Jan 26
Rayo Vallecano11Getafe
2 May 25
Rayo Vallecano10Getafe
24 Aug 24
Getafe00Rayo Vallecano
13 Apr 24
Rayo Vallecano00Getafe
2 Jan 24
Getafe02Rayo Vallecano

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Getafe's current form?

Getafe have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Getafe won 0, drew 3, and Rayo Vallecano won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Getafe Win17%
Draw37%
Rayo Vallecano Win46%
BTTS30%
Over 2.524%

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