Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Málaga xG
Expected goals
1.6
Athletic Club xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
1–1
12%
0–2
10%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
1–0
7%
Home
Málaga
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.8
Last 5
0W 4D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Málaga vs Athletic Club?
Athletic Club is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Málaga's current form?
Málaga have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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