Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Málaga xG
Expected goals
3.1
Barcelona xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
0–3
7%
1–4
6%
0–4
5%
Home
Málaga
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Barcelona
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.8 / 1.2
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Málaga vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Málaga's current form?
Málaga have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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