Match Analysis

Malaga vs Levante

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
21%
37%
Malaga winDrawLevante win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game1.40
0.00Avg goals scored1.87
0.00Avg goals conceded1.73
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Malaga xG

Expected goals

1.9

Levante xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

8%

21

8%

12

7%

22

7%

13

5%

23

5%

Home

Malaga

No data

Away

Levante

Levante

WDLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malaga vs Levante?

Malaga is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Malaga Win42%
Draw21%
Levante Win37%
BTTS74%
Over 2.575%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi