Match Analysis

Malaga vs Real Sociedad

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
14%
9%
Malaga winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

0.00Points per game0.40
0.00Avg goals scored0.81
0.00Avg goals conceded2.33
0–0–0Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Malaga xG

Expected goals

0.8

Real Sociedad xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

11%

30

10%

21

9%

10

8%

31

8%

11

7%

Home

Malaga

No data

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

LLDLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Malaga vs Real Sociedad?

Malaga is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Malaga Win77%
Draw14%
Real Sociedad Win9%
BTTS51%
Over 2.568%

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