Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Malaga xG
Expected goals
2.2
Villarreal xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
2–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–1
6%
1–3
5%
2–3
5%
Home
Malaga
Away
Villarreal
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Malaga vs Villarreal?
Villarreal is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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