Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Osasuna xG
Expected goals
1.2
Espanyol xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
1–1
13%
0–0
12%
1–0
11%
0–2
9%
1–2
8%
Home
Osasuna
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Espanyol
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Osasuna vs Espanyol?
Espanyol is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Osasuna's current form?
Osasuna have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Osasuna won 1, drew 1, and Espanyol won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga