Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Racing Santander xG
Expected goals
0.7
Elche xG
44%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
13%
2–0
13%
1–1
9%
2–1
9%
3–0
9%
3–1
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.3M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Racing Santander
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.9 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Racing Santander vs Elche?
Racing Santander is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Racing Santander's current form?
Racing Santander have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga