Match Analysis

Racing SantandervsReal Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
17%
64%
Racing Santander winDrawReal Madrid win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game2.60
1.44Avg goals scored2.45
2.51Avg goals conceded0.98
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Racing Santander xG

Expected goals

2.6

Real Madrid xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–3

8%

1–1

7%

0–2

6%

2–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Racing Santander

Racing Santander

DLDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Racing Santander vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Racing Santander's current form?

Racing Santander have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Racing Santander Win19%
Draw17%
Real Madrid Win64%
BTTS70%
Over 2.576%