Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club
ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Rayo Vallecano xG
Expected goals
0.7
Athletic Club xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
13%
1–0
11%
3–0
10%
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?
Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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