Match Analysis

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
16%
27%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawAthletic Club win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
1.20Avg goals scored0.75
1.19Avg goals conceded2.35
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Rayo Vallecano xG

Expected goals

0.7

Athletic Club xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

13%

10

11%

30

10%

21

9%

11

8%

31

7%

Home

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

LLLDL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.4

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Rayo Vallecanoall timeAthletic Club
1D
5W
28 Feb 26
Rayo Vallecano11Athletic Club
25 Aug 25
Athletic Club10Rayo Vallecano
13 Apr 25
Athletic Club31Rayo Vallecano
1 Dec 24
Rayo Vallecano12Athletic Club
25 May 24
Rayo Vallecano01Athletic Club
2 Dec 23
Athletic Club40Rayo Vallecano

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?

Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 0, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Rayo Vallecano Win57%
Draw16%
Athletic Club Win27%
BTTS46%
Over 2.560%

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