Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Rayo Vallecano xG
Expected goals
0.6
Elche xG
42%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
14%
3–0
12%
1–0
11%
2–1
8%
4–0
8%
3–1
7%
Home
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Elche?
Rayo Vallecano is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, drew 0, and Elche won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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