Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Rayo Vallecano xG
Expected goals
1.3
Espanyol xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
12%
0–1
9%
1–0
9%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–0
7%
Home
Rayo Vallecano
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Espanyol
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?
Espanyol is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?
Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, drew 0, and Espanyol won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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