Match Analysis

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
19%
46%
Rayo Vallecano winDrawEspanyol win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.21Avg goals scored1.51
1.19Avg goals conceded1.34
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Rayo Vallecano xG

Expected goals

1.3

Espanyol xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Espanyol

Espanyol

LLWDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Rayo Vallecanoall timeEspanyol
1W
3W
23 Apr 26
Rayo Vallecano10Espanyol
7 Dec 25
Espanyol10Rayo Vallecano
4 Apr 25
Rayo Vallecano04Espanyol
31 Aug 24
Espanyol21Rayo Vallecano

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol?

Espanyol is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Rayo Vallecano's current form?

Rayo Vallecano have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1, drew 0, and Espanyol won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Rayo Vallecano Win35%
Draw19%
Espanyol Win46%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%

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