Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Real Betis xG
Expected goals
1
Barcelona xG
21%
Both Teams to Score
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
25%
0–1
25%
0–2
12%
1–0
10%
1–1
10%
1–2
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $161K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Real Betis
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Barcelona
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.4
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Betis vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Betis's current form?
Real Betis have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Real Betis won 0, drew 2, and Barcelona won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (25% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 21%. Over 2.5 goals: 17%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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