Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Real Betis xG
Expected goals
0.9
Real Madrid xG
40%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–1
12%
2–0
8%
2–1
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.3M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Real Betis
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.0
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Betis vs Real Madrid?
Real Betis is favored with a 33% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Betis's current form?
Real Betis have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Real Betis won 1, drew 3, and Real Madrid won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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