Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Real Madrid xG
Expected goals
1.1
Alavés xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
1–1
9%
2–0
9%
3–1
7%
3–0
6%
Home
Real Madrid
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Alavés
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.2 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Alavés?
Real Madrid is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Madrid's current form?
Real Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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