Match Analysis

Real MadridvsCelta Vigo

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
25%
25%
Real Madrid winDrawCelta Vigo win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.60
2.45Avg goals scored1.02
0.98Avg goals conceded0.59
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

1

Celta Vigo xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

12%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Real Madrid is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Real Madrid Win50%
Draw25%
Celta Vigo Win25%
BTTS50%
Over 2.548%