Match Analysis

Real Madrid vs Malaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
12%
9%
Real Madrid winDrawMalaga win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game0.00
2.67Avg goals scored0.00
0.95Avg goals conceded0.00
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)0–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Real Madrid xG

Expected goals

1

Malaga xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

8%

21

8%

30

8%

31

8%

40

6%

41

6%

Home

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.7 / 1.0

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Malaga

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Madrid vs Malaga?

Real Madrid is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Real Madrid Win79%
Draw12%
Malaga Win9%
BTTS60%
Over 2.578%

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