Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid
ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Real Sociedad xG
Expected goals
2
Atletico Madrid xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
7%
0–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $251K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Real Sociedad
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Atletico Madrid
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Sociedad's current form?
Real Sociedad have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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