Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Real Sociedad xG
Expected goals
3
Espanyol xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
10%
0–3
10%
0–4
8%
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–1
7%
Home
Real Sociedad
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Espanyol
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.1
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?
Espanyol is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Sociedad's current form?
Real Sociedad have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 La Liga meetings, Real Sociedad won 2, drew 2, and Espanyol won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from La Liga