Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Real Sociedad xG
Expected goals
1.1
Levante xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
12%
1–0
12%
0–0
11%
0–2
7%
1–2
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $534K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Real Sociedad
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.8 / 2.3
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Levante
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Levante?
Real Sociedad is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Real Sociedad's current form?
Real Sociedad have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, drew 1, and Levante won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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