Match Analysis

Real Sociedad vs Levante

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
33%
28%
Real Sociedad winDrawLevante win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
0.81Avg goals scored0.64
2.33Avg goals conceded1.61
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Real Sociedad xG

Expected goals

1.1

Levante xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

13%

01

12%

10

12%

00

11%

02

7%

12

7%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $534K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Real Sociedad
39%
38%
FAIR
Draw
33%
Levante
28%
62%
-34%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

LLDLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Levante

Levante

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.6

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Real Sociedadall timeLevante
1W
1D
4 Apr 26
Real Sociedad20Levante
20 Dec 25
Levante11Real Sociedad

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Real Sociedad vs Levante?

Real Sociedad is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Real Sociedad's current form?

Real Sociedad have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, drew 1, and Levante won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Real Sociedad Win39%
Draw33%
Levante Win28%
BTTS45%
Over 2.538%

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