Match Analysis

SevillavsAlavés

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
24%
34%
Sevilla winDrawAlavés win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.40
1.63Avg goals scored1.23
1.72Avg goals conceded1.24
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.5

Alavés xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Alavés

Alavés

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Alavés?

Sevilla is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win42%
Draw24%
Alavés Win34%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%