Match Analysis

SevillavsAtlético Madrid

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
23%
50%
Sevilla winDrawAtlético Madrid win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
1.63Avg goals scored1.86
1.72Avg goals conceded0.65
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.8

Atlético Madrid xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.9 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win27%
Draw23%
Atlético Madrid Win50%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%