Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Sevilla xG
Expected goals
2.2
Barcelona xG
45%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
13%
0–1
12%
0–3
10%
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
1–3
7%
Home
Sevilla
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Barcelona
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.4
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Barcelona?
Barcelona is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sevilla's current form?
Sevilla have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 1, drew 0, and Barcelona won 5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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