Match Analysis

Sevilla vs Barcelona

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
14%
74%
Sevilla winDrawBarcelona win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
2.06Avg goals scored2.87
1.01Avg goals conceded0.39
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

2.2

Barcelona xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

02

13%

01

12%

03

10%

12

9%

11

8%

13

7%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

WWLLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Barcelona

Barcelona

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.9 / 0.4

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Sevillaall timeBarcelona
1W
5W
15 Mar 26
Barcelona52Sevilla
5 Oct 25
Sevilla41Barcelona
9 Feb 25
Sevilla14Barcelona
20 Oct 24
Barcelona51Sevilla
26 May 24
Sevilla12Barcelona
29 Sep 23
Barcelona10Sevilla

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Sevilla won 1, drew 0, and Barcelona won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Sevilla Win12%
Draw14%
Barcelona Win74%
BTTS45%
Over 2.555%

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