Match Analysis

SevillavsMálaga

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

57%
21%
22%
Sevilla winDrawMálaga win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.60
1.63Avg goals scored0.85
1.72Avg goals conceded1.99
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–3–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Sevilla xG

Expected goals

1.3

Málaga xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

1–0

7%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Sevilla

Sevilla

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Málaga

Málaga

DDLDL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sevilla vs Málaga?

Sevilla is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sevilla's current form?

Sevilla have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sevilla Win57%
Draw21%
Málaga Win22%
BTTS64%
Over 2.566%