Match Analysis

ValenciavsAthletic Club

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
26%
47%
Valencia winDrawAthletic Club win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.80
0.80Avg goals scored1.27
1.65Avg goals conceded0.82
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Valencia xG

Expected goals

1.5

Athletic Club xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

12%

1–1

12%

0–2

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

1–0

8%

Home

Valencia

Valencia

DDDLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

DLDDD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Valencia vs Athletic Club?

Athletic Club is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Valencia's current form?

Valencia have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Valencia Win27%
Draw26%
Athletic Club Win47%
BTTS49%
Over 2.546%