Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Valencia xG
Expected goals
0.4
Athletic Club xG
23%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
24%
0–0
20%
2–0
15%
1–1
10%
0–1
8%
2–1
6%
Home
Valencia
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
0.6 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Athletic Club
PPG
0.20
Avg goals
0.7 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 1D 4L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Valencia vs Athletic Club?
Valencia is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Valencia's current form?
Valencia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Valencia won 3, drew 1, and Athletic Club won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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