Match Analysis

Valencia vs Real Sociedad

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
29%
30%
Valencia winDrawReal Sociedad win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
0.61Avg goals scored1.13
0.79Avg goals conceded1.97
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Valencia xG

Expected goals

0.7

Real Sociedad xG

32%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

18%

10

18%

01

13%

11

13%

20

9%

21

6%

Home

Valencia

Valencia

LDWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.6 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

WLLDL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Valenciaall timeReal Sociedad
2W
1D
3W
17 May 26
Real Sociedad34Valencia
16 Aug 25
Valencia11Real Sociedad
19 Jan 25
Valencia10Real Sociedad
28 Sep 24
Real Sociedad30Valencia
16 May 24
Real Sociedad10Valencia
27 Sep 23
Valencia01Real Sociedad

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Valencia vs Real Sociedad?

Valencia is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Valencia's current form?

Valencia have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Valencia won 2, drew 1, and Real Sociedad won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Valencia Win41%
Draw29%
Real Sociedad Win30%
BTTS32%
Over 2.524%

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