Match Analysis

VillarrealvsElche

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
25%
33%
Villarreal winDrawElche win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.39Avg goals scored1.42
1.20Avg goals conceded1.25
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

1.3

Elche xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

1–2

8%

2–0

7%

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

DWLDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Elche

Elche

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Elche?

Villarreal is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Villarreal Win42%
Draw25%
Elche Win33%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%