Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Villarreal xG
Expected goals
0.9
Elche xG
58%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
8%
4–0
8%
3–1
7%
4–1
7%
2–0
6%
5–0
6%
Home
Villarreal
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Elche
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 2.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Villarreal's current form?
Villarreal have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 La Liga meetings, Villarreal won 2, drew 0, and Elche won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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