Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Villarreal xG
Expected goals
1.8
Real Betis xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
0–2
11%
1–1
11%
1–2
10%
0–0
7%
0–3
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $244K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Villarreal
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Real Betis
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Real Betis?
Real Betis is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Villarreal's current form?
Villarreal have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Villarreal won 2, drew 1, and Real Betis won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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