Match Analysis

Villarreal vs Real Betis

ESP La Liga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
21%
58%
Villarreal winDrawReal Betis win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.40
2.20Avg goals scored1.30
1.87Avg goals conceded0.46
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Villarreal xG

Expected goals

1.8

Real Betis xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

12%

02

11%

11

11%

12

10%

00

7%

03

7%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $244K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Villarreal
21%
70%
-49%
Draw
21%
Real Betis
58%
30%
+28%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Villarreal

Villarreal

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Real Betis

Real Betis

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Villarrealall timeReal Betis
2W
1D
3W
17 Jan 26
Real Betis20Villarreal
18 Oct 25
Villarreal22Real Betis
13 Apr 25
Real Betis12Villarreal
15 Dec 24
Villarreal12Real Betis
10 Mar 24
Real Betis23Villarreal
13 Aug 23
Villarreal12Real Betis

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Villarreal vs Real Betis?

Real Betis is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Villarreal's current form?

Villarreal have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 La Liga meetings, Villarreal won 2, drew 1, and Real Betis won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Villarreal Win21%
Draw21%
Real Betis Win58%
BTTS50%
Over 2.551%

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