Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
AJ Auxerre xG
Expected goals
0.9
Angers xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
9%
2–0
8%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
Home
AJ Auxerre
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 3.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Angers
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.3 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aj Auxerre vs Angers?
AJ Auxerre is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aj Auxerre's current form?
Aj Auxerre have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Aj Auxerre won 2, drew 0, and Angers won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Ligue 1