Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.4
AJ Auxerre xG
Expected goals
3.5
Brest xG
94%
Both Teams to Score
97%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–3
5%
2–2
4%
2–3
4%
2–4
4%
3–2
4%
3–4
4%
Home
AJ Auxerre
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.1 / 3.5
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Brest
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aj Auxerre vs Brest?
AJ Auxerre is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aj Auxerre's current form?
Aj Auxerre have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Aj Auxerre won 2, drew 1, and Brest won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 94%. Over 2.5 goals: 97%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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