Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsLe Mans

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
21%
31%
AJ Auxerre winDrawLe Mans win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
1.55Avg goals scored1.19
2.00Avg goals conceded2.01
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

1.6

Le Mans xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Le Mans?

AJ Auxerre is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win48%
Draw21%
Le Mans Win31%
BTTS69%
Over 2.570%