Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
20%
48%
AJ Auxerre winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.40
1.55Avg goals scored2.62
2.00Avg goals conceded1.73
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

2.3

Marseille xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

6%

2–1

6%

2–3

5%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win32%
Draw20%
Marseille Win48%
BTTS77%
Over 2.579%