Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.9
AJ Auxerre xG
Expected goals
2.3
Marseille xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–1
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
2–3
5%
Home
AJ Auxerre
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Marseille
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.6 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Marseille?
Marseille is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AJ Auxerre's current form?
AJ Auxerre have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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