Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsParis FC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
22%
41%
AJ Auxerre winDrawParis FC win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
1.55Avg goals scored1.66
2.00Avg goals conceded1.40
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

1.8

Paris FC xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

5%

0–2

5%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Paris FC

Paris FC

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC?

Paris FC is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win37%
Draw22%
Paris FC Win41%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%