Match Analysis

AJ AuxerrevsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
23%
42%
AJ Auxerre winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.80
1.55Avg goals scored1.56
2.00Avg goals conceded1.14
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

AJ Auxerre xG

Expected goals

1.8

Toulouse xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AJ Auxerre vs Toulouse?

Toulouse is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AJ Auxerre's current form?

AJ Auxerre have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AJ Auxerre Win35%
Draw23%
Toulouse Win42%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%