Match Analysis

Angers vs Lorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
31%
49%
Angers winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.00
0.34Avg goals scored0.66
1.86Avg goals conceded0.46
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.3

Angers xG

Expected goals

0.9

Lorient xG

15%

Both Teams to Score

12%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

30%

01

27%

02

12%

10

9%

11

8%

03

4%

Home

Angers

Angers

LDDLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.3 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Angersall timeLorient
1W
1W
15 Feb 26
Lorient20Angers
26 Oct 25
Angers20Lorient

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Lorient?

Lorient is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Ligue 1 meetings, Angers won 1, drew 0, and Lorient won 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (30% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 12%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Angers Win20%
Draw31%
Lorient Win49%
BTTS15%
Over 2.512%

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