Match Analysis

AngersvsLorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
27%
44%
Angers winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.08Avg goals scored0.82
2.11Avg goals conceded0.58
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Angers xG

Expected goals

1.4

Lorient xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

8%

0–2

8%

Home

Angers

Angers

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.6

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Lorient?

Lorient is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Angers Win29%
Draw27%
Lorient Win44%
BTTS50%
Over 2.546%