Match Analysis

AngersvsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
20%
54%
Angers winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.08Avg goals scored2.61
2.10Avg goals conceded1.73
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Angers xG

Expected goals

2.4

Marseille xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

2–1

6%

0–2

5%

Home

Angers

Angers

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Angers vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Angers's current form?

Angers have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Angers Win26%
Draw20%
Marseille Win54%
BTTS73%
Over 2.576%