Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Angers xG
Expected goals
4
Marseille xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
14%
0–4
14%
0–5
12%
0–2
11%
0–1
5%
1–3
4%
Home
Angers
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
0.3 / 1.9
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Marseille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Angers vs Marseille?
Marseille is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Angers's current form?
Angers have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Ligue 1 meetings, Angers won 0, drew 2, and Marseille won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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