Match Analysis

AS MonacovsAJ Auxerre

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
23%
27%
AS Monaco winDrawAJ Auxerre win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.26Avg goals scored1.55
1.01Avg goals conceded2.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

1.3

AJ Auxerre xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AJ Auxerre

AJ Auxerre

DWLWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Monaco vs AJ Auxerre?

AS Monaco is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Monaco's current form?

AS Monaco have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Monaco Win50%
Draw23%
AJ Auxerre Win27%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%