Match Analysis

As Monaco vs Lens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
19%
47%
AS Monaco winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
1.37Avg goals scored3.57
0.87Avg goals conceded1.47
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

2.2

Lens xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

8%

12

8%

22

7%

13

6%

21

6%

02

5%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Lens

Lens

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

3.6 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

As Monacoall timeLens
3W
1D
2W
21 Feb 26
Lens23AS Monaco
8 Nov 25
AS Monaco14Lens
17 May 25
Lens40AS Monaco
1 Sep 24
AS Monaco11Lens
25 Feb 24
Lens23AS Monaco
2 Sep 23
AS Monaco30Lens

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is As Monaco's current form?

As Monaco have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 1, and Lens won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

AS Monaco Win34%
Draw19%
Lens Win47%
BTTS73%
Over 2.575%

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