Match Analysis

AS MonacovsMarseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
23%
38%
AS Monaco winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.26Avg goals scored2.62
1.01Avg goals conceded1.73
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

1.7

Marseille xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.6 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Monaco vs Marseille?

AS Monaco is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Monaco's current form?

AS Monaco have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Monaco Win39%
Draw23%
Marseille Win38%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%