Match Analysis

As Monaco vs Marseille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
19%
62%
AS Monaco winDrawMarseille win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.00
1.37Avg goals scored3.12
0.87Avg goals conceded0.43
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

2

Marseille xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

16%

02

16%

03

11%

00

8%

11

8%

12

8%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

WWWLL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Marseille

Marseille

WWWLD

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.1 / 0.4

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

As Monacoall timeMarseille
3W
1D
2W
5 Apr 26
AS Monaco21Marseille
14 Dec 25
Marseille10AS Monaco
12 Apr 25
AS Monaco30Marseille
1 Dec 24
Marseille21AS Monaco
27 Jan 24
Marseille22AS Monaco
30 Sep 23
AS Monaco32Marseille

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Marseille?

Marseille is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is As Monaco's current form?

As Monaco have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 1, and Marseille won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

AS Monaco Win19%
Draw19%
Marseille Win62%
BTTS34%
Over 2.546%

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