Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
AS Monaco xG
Expected goals
2
Marseille xG
34%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–2
16%
0–3
11%
0–0
8%
1–1
8%
1–2
8%
Home
AS Monaco
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.4 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Marseille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.1 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win As Monaco vs Marseille?
Marseille is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is As Monaco's current form?
As Monaco have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, As Monaco won 3, drew 1, and Marseille won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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