Match Analysis

AS MonacovsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
26%
34%
AS Monaco winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.26Avg goals scored1.56
1.01Avg goals conceded1.14
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

AS Monaco xG

Expected goals

1.3

Toulouse xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–0

7%

Home

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win AS Monaco vs Toulouse?

AS Monaco is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is AS Monaco's current form?

AS Monaco have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

AS Monaco Win40%
Draw26%
Toulouse Win34%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%