Match Analysis

Brest vs Nice

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
55%
22%
Brest winDrawNice win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.20
1.39Avg goals scored0.22
1.96Avg goals conceded0.33
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.4

Brest xG

Expected goals

0.3

Nice xG

9%

Both Teams to Score

3%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

50%

10

20%

01

15%

11

6%

20

4%

02

2%

Home

Brest

Brest

DDLLL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Nice

Nice

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.2 / 0.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Brestall timeNice
1W
3D
2W
1 Feb 26
Nice22Brest
20 Sep 25
Brest41Nice
17 May 25
Nice60Brest
2 Nov 24
Brest01Nice
4 Feb 24
Brest00Nice
1 Oct 23
Nice00Brest

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Nice?

Brest is favored with a 23% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Brest won 1, drew 3, and Nice won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (50% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 9%. Over 2.5 goals: 3%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Brest Win23%
Draw55%
Nice Win22%
BTTS9%
Over 2.53%

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