Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Brest xG
Expected goals
0.6
Toulouse xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
2–0
14%
0–0
10%
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
Home
Brest
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.0
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brest vs Toulouse?
Brest is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brest's current form?
Brest have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Ligue 1 meetings, Brest won 3, drew 1, and Toulouse won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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