Match Analysis

BrestvsTroyes

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
20%
19%
Brest winDrawTroyes win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.20
1.78Avg goals scored0.52
1.47Avg goals conceded1.91
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Brest xG

Expected goals

1

Troyes xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–1

9%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Brest

Brest

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Troyes

Troyes

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brest vs Troyes?

Brest is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brest's current form?

Brest have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brest Win61%
Draw20%
Troyes Win19%
BTTS55%
Over 2.560%