Match Analysis

Le MansvsAS Monaco

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
24%
44%
Le Mans winDrawAS Monaco win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
1.19Avg goals scored1.26
2.01Avg goals conceded1.01
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1.6

AS Monaco xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–2

7%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

AS Monaco

AS Monaco

DWLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs AS Monaco?

AS Monaco is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win32%
Draw24%
AS Monaco Win44%
BTTS58%
Over 2.555%