Match Analysis

Le Mans vs Lens

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
14%
65%
Le Mans winDrawLens win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
2.00Avg goals scored3.58
2.00Avg goals conceded1.48
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

4

Lens xG

90%

Both Teams to Score

96%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

23

5%

24

5%

13

4%

14

4%

22

4%

25

4%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Lens

Lens

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

3.6 / 1.5

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lens?

Lens is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 90%. Over 2.5 goals: 96%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Le Mans Win21%
Draw14%
Lens Win65%
BTTS90%
Over 2.596%

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