Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Le Mans xG
Expected goals
4
Lens xG
90%
Both Teams to Score
96%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–3
5%
2–4
5%
1–3
4%
1–4
4%
2–2
4%
2–5
4%
Home
Le Mans
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Lens
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.6 / 1.5
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lens?
Lens is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 90%. Over 2.5 goals: 96%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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