Match Analysis

Le MansvsLille

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
25%
46%
Le Mans winDrawLille win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.00
1.19Avg goals scored1.25
2.01Avg goals conceded0.77
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1.6

Lille xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Lille

Lille

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lille?

Lille is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win29%
Draw25%
Lille Win46%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%