Match Analysis

Le Mans vs Lorient

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

28%
33%
39%
Le Mans winDrawLorient win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.00
2.00Avg goals scored0.66
2.00Avg goals conceded0.46
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1

Lorient xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

00

17%

01

17%

10

13%

11

13%

02

8%

12

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Lorient

Lorient

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lorient?

Lorient is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Le Mans Win28%
Draw33%
Lorient Win39%
BTTS35%
Over 2.527%

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