Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Le Mans xG
Expected goals
1
Lorient xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
17%
0–1
17%
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–2
8%
1–2
7%
Home
Le Mans
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Lorient
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.7 / 0.5
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Lorient?
Lorient is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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