Match Analysis

Le Mans vs Toulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
14%
7%
Le Mans winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.40
2.00Avg goals scored0.44
2.00Avg goals conceded1.52
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

0.6

Toulouse xG

41%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

14%

30

12%

10

11%

21

8%

11

7%

31

7%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DWDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

LWWDL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.4 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Le Mans is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Le Mans Win79%
Draw14%
Toulouse Win7%
BTTS41%
Over 2.560%

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