Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Le Mans xG
Expected goals
0.6
Toulouse xG
41%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
14%
3–0
12%
1–0
11%
2–1
8%
1–1
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Le Mans
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 3D 0L
Away
Toulouse
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.4 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Le Mans is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Le Mans's current form?
Le Mans have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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