Match Analysis

Le MansvsToulouse

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
23%
46%
Le Mans winDrawToulouse win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.80
1.19Avg goals scored1.56
2.01Avg goals conceded1.14
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Le Mans xG

Expected goals

1.8

Toulouse xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–1

7%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Le Mans

Le Mans

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Toulouse

Toulouse

DWDWD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Toulouse is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Le Mans's current form?

Le Mans have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Le Mans Win31%
Draw23%
Toulouse Win46%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%