Match Analysis

LensvsLe Havre AC

FRA Ligue 1 · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

62%
19%
19%
Lens winDrawLe Havre AC win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.40
2.02Avg goals scored1.19
1.37Avg goals conceded2.19
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.4

Lens xG

Expected goals

1.3

Le Havre AC xG

66%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–1

7%

1–0

6%

2–2

6%

Home

Lens

Lens

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Le Havre AC

Le Havre AC

DLLLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.2

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Le Havre AC?

Lens is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lens Win62%
Draw19%
Le Havre AC Win19%
BTTS66%
Over 2.571%